独家：选举前内塔尼亚胡敦促特朗普加大支持力度
Scoop: Netanyahu presses Trump for more support ahead of tight Tuesday election
Axios
以下为原文逐段中文翻译，保留图表与说明。AI 翻译并经 AI 对照复核，仍可能存在错误；核对数据和引用时请同时查看原文。译文发布：2026年10月26日 12:50（北京时间）。
特拉维夫，以色列 — 据一位知情的美国消息人士和一位获悉相关情况的以色列消息人士透露，正为周二大选中的政治生存而战的以色列总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡（Benjamin Netanyahu）近日恳请特朗普总统公开表态，为其竞选提供更大支持。
为何重要：这位美国消息人士称，白宫将内塔尼亚胡的积极游说视为一种“绝望的迹象”，表明这位以色列领导人认为自己选情落后。
内塔尼亚胡所属利库德集团（Likud）的发言人内塔·莫尔乔（Neta Molcho）否认总理曾“在近日或在其背书声明之前”要求特朗普支持其竞选。
白宫未回应置评请求。特朗普两周前接受 Newsmax 采访时曾表示，以色列有人请求他介入以支持内塔尼亚胡。
幕后详情：这位美国消息人士称，内塔尼亚胡在过去三天里与特朗普通话两次，并请求他加大力度，强化上周在 Truth Social（特朗普社交平台）上为其背书的那条帖子。
该消息人士称，内塔尼亚胡甚至为后续的支持声明拟好了措辞。
一位获悉内塔尼亚胡相关行动的以色列消息人士称，这位以色列总理提议特朗普与以色列记者通电话，以表达进一步支持。
新闻驱动力：在数周的犹豫之后，特朗普于上周日公开背书内塔尼亚胡。他甚至暗示，若内塔尼亚胡落败，将对美以关系产生影响。
除内塔尼亚胡外，特朗普从未与其他任何以色列总理合作过，他也不认识其他任何候选人。两人建立了一段密切但时常波折的关系。
局势现状：以色列三家主要电视网络于周五发布了选前最终民调，结果均显示内塔尼亚胡的执政联盟远未达到议会多数。
三家民调均预测内塔尼亚胡阵营在 120 个席位的以色列议会（Knesset）中仅能获得 50 席 —— 比其当前执政联盟少了 17 席。其所在的利库德集团目前握有 32 席，预测仅能赢得 20 席。
民调显示，前军方负责人加迪·艾森科特（Gadi Eisenkot）领导的反对派阵营可获得 52 至 56 席，另有 14–16 席归两个以色列阿拉伯政党。第 11 频道还预测，一个不隶属于任一阵营的预备役军人政党可获得 4 席。
亲内塔尼亚胡的第 14 频道是个主要异类，其本周早些时候的一项民调预测其阵营可获 60 席、利库德集团 30 席。
字里行间：一位美国官员形容这次背书对特朗普而言是“双赢”，无论结果如何。
若内塔尼亚胡胜选 —— 或以看守总理身份留任 —— 特朗普便可声称自己在政治上挽救了他，并借此筹码施压以换取让步。
若内塔尼亚胡败选、其对手组建政府，以色列的新领导人仍会有充分动机与特朗普搞好关系。而特朗普对其竞争对手的背书很快就会沦为一段注脚。
然而：特朗普的一些顾问认为，由他人领导的以色列政府，反而可能为他的中东议程带来机会。
展开英文原文 · 与中文逐段对应
Scoop: Netanyahu presses Trump for more support ahead of tight Tuesday election
TEL AVIV, Israel — Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu — fighting for political survival in Tuesday's elections — has pleaded with President Trump in recent days to show more public support for his campaign, according to a U.S. source with knowledge and an Israeli source briefed on the matter.
Why it matters: The U.S. source said the White House sees Netanyahu's aggressive lobbying as a "sign of desperation" and an indication that the Israeli leader thinks he's trailing.
Neta Molcho, a spokesperson for Netanyahu's Likud party, denied the prime minister asked Trump to support his campaign "in recent days or before his endorsement statement."
The White House did not respond to a request for comment. Trump said in an interview with Newsmax two weeks ago that people in Israel asked him to get involved in support of Netanyahu.
Behind the scenes: The U.S. source said Netanyahu spoke with Trump twice in the last three days and asked him to double down on his Truth Social post last week endorsing him.
The source said Netanyahu even suggested language for additional statements of support.
An Israeli source briefed on Netanyahu's efforts said the Israeli prime minister proposed that Trump hold calls with Israeli reporters to express further support.
Driving the news: After weeks of hesitation, Trump endorsed Netanyahu last Sunday. He went as far as to suggest his defeat would have consequences for U.S.-Israel relations.
Trump has never worked with an Israeli prime minister other than Netanyahu, and he doesn't personally know any of the other candidates. The two have forged a close but often turbulent relationship.
State of play: Three major Israeli television networks released their final pre-election polls Friday, all showing Netanyahu's coalition falling well short of a parliamentary majority.
All three projected just 50 seats for Netanyahu's bloc in the 120-member Knesset — 17 fewer than his current coalition holds. His Likud party, which currently holds 32 seats, was projected to win just 20.
The polls gave former military chief Gadi Eisenkot's opposition bloc between 52 and 56 seats, with another 14–16 going to two Arab Israeli parties. Channel 11 also projected four seats for a reservists party unaffiliated with either bloc.
Pro-Netanyahu Channel 14 was the major outlier, projecting 60 seats for his bloc and 30 for Likud in a poll earlier this week.
Between the lines: One U.S. official described the endorsement as a win-win for Trump, regardless of the outcome.
If Netanyahu wins — or remains in power as a caretaker prime minister — Trump could claim credit for rescuing him politically and use that leverage to press for concessions.
If Netanyahu loses and his opponents form a government, Israel's new leaders would still have every incentive to cultivate good relations with Trump. His endorsement of their rival would quickly become a footnote.
Yes, but: Some of Trump's advisers see opportunity for his Middle East agenda in an Israeli government led by someone else.
信息从哪里来
- Axios 原始来源