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以色列投票率创53年新高,对内塔尼亚胡不利

Israeli turnout hits 53-year high, a bad sign for Netanyahu

Axios 原文发布:2026年10月27日 23:21 · 北京时间

Axios

以下为原文逐段中文翻译,保留图表与说明。AI 翻译并经 AI 对照复核,仍可能存在错误;核对数据和引用时请同时查看原文。译文发布:2026年10月28日 00:51(北京时间)。

以色列特拉维夫——选举日过半,已有45%的以色列选民投下选票——这是自1973年以来的最高水平。

为何重要:这对本雅明·内塔尼亚胡来说似乎是坏消息。

投票率上升可能会使他的阵营中数个政党得票率跌破选举门槛——从而使总理更难在议会中获得61个席位的多数。

阿拉伯少数族裔社区投票率的提升,可能使他们在议会中赢得创纪录的席位数量。

与历次选举一样,内塔尼亚胡试图通过散布关于其对手‘窃取选举’的‘穆斯林兄弟会支持者’的不实说法来动员其选民。

当前局势:在多地投票站排起长队的报道接连出现后,中央选举委员会下令加快投票进程,并明确,任何在当地时间晚10点前抵达投票站的选民都将被允许投票。

投票站将于当地时间晚10点(美东时间下午4点)关闭,以色列三大电视网将同步公布出口民调。

新闻驱动:这是以色列历史上最具决定性意义的选举之一——敌对阵营均警告,若对方获胜将危及以色列的未来。

此次选举是对本雅明·内塔尼亚胡领导能力及其过去四年带领国家所走道路的又一场公投。

这是以色列选民首次有机会就导致哈马斯发动10月7日袭击的安全失误向内塔尼亚胡追责——或是就他所称的自那以来三年战争中前所未有的军事成功而给予其褒奖。

展开英文原文 · 与中文逐段对应

Israeli turnout hits 53-year high, a bad sign for Netanyahu

TEL AVIV, Israel — Halfway through Election Day, 45% of Israeli voters had cast a ballot — the highest level since 1973.

Why it matters: This looks like bad news for Benjamin Netanyahu.

Higher voter turnout will likely push several of the parties in his bloc below the electoral threshold — making it harder for the prime minister to reach a 61-seat majority in parliament.

An increase in turnout among Arab minority communities could lead to a record number of seats in parliament for them.

As in previous elections, Netanyahu has tried to energize his voters by making false claims about "Muslim Brotherhood supporters" of his opponents who are "stealing the elections."

State of play: After multiple reports of long lines at many polling stations across the country, the Central Elections Commission issued orders to expedite the voting process and clarified that any voter who arrives at a polling station by 10 pm local time will be allowed to vote.

Polls close at 10 pm local time (4pm ET) and exit polls will be published simultaneously by Israel's three TV networks.

Driving the news: This is one of the most consequential elections in the country's history — with rival camps warning that victory for the other would put Israel's future in jeopardy.

The elections are yet another referendum on Benjamin Netanyahu's leadership and the path he's taken the country down over the past four years.

It's Israeli voters' first chance to hold Netanyahu accountable for the security failures that led to the Hamas-led October 7 attacks — or to reward him for what he claims were unprecedented military successes in the three years of war since.

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这件事

选举日过半,以色列已有45%选民投票,为1973年以来最高。高投票率可能使内塔尼亚胡阵营多个政党跌破议席门槛,阿拉伯少数族裔投票率上升或带来创纪录席位。这是以色列史上最具决定性选举之一,既是对内塔尼亚胡执政的又一次公投,也关乎10月7日后安全路线的问责。

本页概括所列来源的重点,属于独立摘要;完整报道请阅读原站。整理时间:2026年10月28日 00:57(北京时间)。

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据Axios报道,由本站译为全文中文。

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