时间领主废止闰秒,以防其成为新的千年虫
Time Lords kill leap seconds, before they become the new Y2K bug
The Register
以下为原文逐段中文翻译,保留图表与说明。AI 翻译并经 AI 对照复核,仍可能存在错误;核对数据和引用时请同时查看原文。译文发布:2026年10月19日 07:45(北京时间)。
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以更新物联网设备的困难为停止增设闰秒的主要理由
国际计量大会(GCPM)* 的“时间领主”们已决定停止引入闰秒,理由是其可能导致物联网设备出现问题——从而需要一场千年虫(Y2K)级别的修复工作——是做出这一改变的原因。
正如《注册》(The Register)上周报道的,GCPM 致力于协调世界时 UT1(专家根据地球自转速度的变化计算得出)与人类用来设定时间的协调世界时(UTC)标准。
我们聪明的人类可以制定标准,却对地球自转速度可变这一事实无能为力。当我们的星球自转放慢时,GCPM 会添加闰秒,以使 UT1 与 UTC 保持同步。近年来,由于地球自转略有加快,他们甚至考虑过负闰秒。
(广告)
与所有优秀的 standards 机构一样,GCPM 就其工作展开长达数年的辩论。近年来,闰秒议题一直备受关注,因为如今人类依赖数十亿台设备共享同一套时序数据,而这些设备未必能轻松应对闰秒,导致闰秒越来越难以实施。
(广告)
这一问题在上周的 GCPM 第 28 届大会上达到顶点,“时间领主”们投票决定终止使用闰秒。
负闰秒的可能性似乎是一个主要因素。
“负闰秒此前从未被采用,并且被认为极有可能对基本上毫无准备的关键基础设施造成严重异常和中断,”“时间领主”们在投票后发布的一项决议中写道。“相关准备将令依赖时间同步的行业需要进行资金投入,其规模估计与它们为千年虫所做的准备相当。”
读者或许记得,在 20 世纪 90 年代末,全世界花费了数十亿美元来修复软件——由于早期商业计算时代看似合理的节省内存措施,这些软件无法从容处理 1999 年 12 月 31 日之后的日期。
历史学家现在估计,全球为千年虫修复付出的成本为 3000 亿至 6000 亿美元。人们普遍认为这笔钱花得并不值。
GCPM 还担忧联网设备。
“物联网(IoT)技术、分散式多传感器系统、智能电网以及面向当代社会的虚拟服务的影响力与日俱增,随着任何一次闰秒(尤其是负闰秒)的插入,系统与服务运行出现故障的风险也在不断上升,”他们写道。
决议中提出的另一项担忧是:“全球服务提供商在其服务器系统中为避免时间跳变而采用不同的闰秒引入缓解方法,导致不同系统之间以及所发布的时间和频率出现不一致,不符合国际单位制(SI)单位[标准秒]。”
(广告)
全球有众多物联网设备制造商,但关于设备应如何运行的标准却较少。因此,一些制造商生产出的设备安全性低下、出厂即带有易受攻击的软件,可能遭到恶意软件篡改,或者缺乏便于更新的机制。因此,数十亿台设备可能无法落实闰秒。
这将成为一个问题,因为数字证书包含一个“notbefore”(生效前)值——即在该时间之前证书不会被接受。许多系统若发现行为异常的证书便会拒绝它。因此不难想象,如果某家大型 ISP 的调制解调器无法容纳闰秒,这多出来的一瞬时间一旦引入,便可能导致该运营商的网络判定其自身客户不够可信而无法连接。
诸如此类的情景反倒表明,“时间领主”们在对待软件开发人员或许不可避免的易错性时,采取了富有远见的审慎态度。
GCPM 用以取代闰秒的方案,是在一项名为“连续 UTC”(Continuous UTC)的机制下,允许 UT1 与 UTC 相差最多 3,600 秒,该机制将于明年生效。得益于夏令时(一些人希望将其废止),人类在增减小时方面已有丰富经验。®
* 该组织的正式名称为法语 Conférence générale des poids et mesures(国际计量大会),其缩写即为 GCPM。
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Time Lords kill leap seconds, before they become the new Y2K bug
networks
Cite difficulty of updating IoT devices as major reason to stop adding time
The Time Lords at the General Conference on Weights and Measures (GCPM) * have decided to stop introducing leap seconds, citing the likelihood they could cause problems with internet of things devices – and therefore a Y2K scale remediation effort – as a reason for the change.
As The Register reported last week, the GCPM works to harmonize Universal Time – UT1, which boffins calculate using the changing speed of Earth’s rotation – and the Coordinated Universal Time (UTC) standard that humans use to set time.
We big-brained hominids can set standards but can’t do much about the fact that the speed of Earth’s rotation is variable. When our planet’s spin slows, the GCPM adds leap seconds so that UT1 and UTC are in synch. In recent years, they have even pondered a negative leap second because Earth’s rotation has sped up a little.
REG AD
Like all good standards orgs, the GCPM conducts years-long debates about its work. The topic of leap seconds has very much been on the agenda in recent years, as they’re increasingly hard to implement now that humanity relies on billions of devices that can usefully share the same timing data but may not easily account for leap seconds.
REG AD
The matter came to a head at last week’s 28 th meeting of the GCPM, at which Time Lords voted to end use of leap seconds.
The possibility of a negative leap second seems to have been a major factor.
“A negative leap second has not previously been applied, and it is considered to pose a high risk of causing anomalies and disruption to critical infrastructures that are largely unprepared,” the Time Lords wrote in a resolution posted after their vote. “The preparation would create, for the industries that rely on time synchronization, a need for financial investment, whose amount is estimated to be similar to their preparations for the millennium bug.”
Readers may recall that in the late 1990s, the world spent billions of dollars remediating software that, due to sensible-at-the-time memory-saving measures from the early years of business computing, couldn’t comfortably handle dates after December 31, 1999.
Historians now cite the global cost of Y2K remediation at $300-$600 billion. It's widely thought that money was not well-spent.
The GCPM also worries about connected devices.
The growing influence of IoT (Internet of Things) technologies, dispersed multi-sensor systems, smart grids, and virtual services for contemporary society, creates an increasing risk of malfunction in operation of systems and services with the insertion of any leap second, especially with a negative one,” they wrote.
Another concern raised in the resolution is: “The use of different mitigation methods for leap second introductions by global service providers in their server systems, in order to avoid time steps, leads to inconsistency in timing between different systems and in the disseminated time and frequency, which do not conform to the SI unit [the standard second].”
REG AD
The world is home to myriad manufacturers of IoT devices, but fewer standards on how they should behave. Some manufacturers therefore build shabbily insecure devices that ship with vulnerable software that allow them to be subverted with malware, or without facilities that allow easy updates. Billions of devices could therefore fail to implement a leap second.
That would become a problem because digital certificates include a notbefore value – a time before which the cert won’t be accepted. Many systems that see a misbehaving cert would reject it. It’s therefore conceivable that if a major ISP’s modems could not accommodate a leap second, the extra sliver of time’s introduction could see the carrier’s network decide its own customers are not trustworthy enough to connect.
Scenarios like that rather suggest Time Lords have taken a sensibly long view regarding the perhaps-inevitable fallibility of software developers.
The GCPM's replacement for leap seconds is to allow UT1 and UTC to diverge by up to 3,600 seconds under a scheme called "Continuous UTC" that comes into force next year. Humanity has lots of practice adding and removing hours thanks to Daylight Saving time, which some want to sunset . ®
* The organisation’s formal name is the Conférence générale des poids et mesures, which yields the acronym GCPM
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这件事
国际计量大会(CGPM)时间领主在第28届大会上投票决定终止引入闰秒。主因是闰秒尤其是从未采用过的负闰秒,可能令依赖时间同步的关键基础设施出现严重异常,应对成本或堪比千年虫(Y2K)。新机制连续UTC允许UT1与UTC相差最多3600秒,明年生效。
本页概括所列来源的重点,属于独立摘要;完整报道请阅读原站。整理时间:2026年10月19日 07:46(北京时间)。
信息从哪里来
依据The Register报道,引述CGPM决议原文;该组织法语全称Conférence générale des poids et mesures。
- The Register 报道正文